PARIS, October 14th, 2025 - Just days into his second term as Prime Minister, Sébastien Lecornu faces a whirlwind of political and economic challenges. Today, he embarks on a high-stakes day, juggling a tight budget, a potentially hostile parliament, and the constant threat of censure. The clock is ticking as Lecornu attempts to navigate a path forward without a stable majority.

This morning, Lecornu convened his first cabinet meeting to present the draft Finance Bill (PLF) and Social Security Funding Bill (PLFSS). These crucial texts must be submitted to Parliament within the legally mandated sixty-day timeframe. The proposed budget, closely resembling the one presented to the High Council of Public Finances earlier this month, aims to achieve a deficit below 5% of GDP by 2026 through a combination of austerity measures and limited tax cuts for low-income households.

However, securing parliamentary approval promises to be an uphill battle. This afternoon, Lecornu will deliver a crucial General Policy Declaration (DPG) to the National Assembly. While not constitutionally required, the DPG has become a cornerstone of the Fifth Republic, allowing the Prime Minister to outline their government's priorities and vision.

Facing a lack of absolute majority, Lecornu has opted for a procedural tactic – a declaration followed by debate without a vote of confidence. This avoids immediate risk of being overthrown, a gamble that mirrors the failed strategy of François Bayrou, who was forced to resign last month after losing a vote of confidence.

However, the shadow of censure looms large. Motions of no confidence have already been filed by the National Rally and La France Insoumise parties. Should either secure the necessary 289 votes, the government will fall. The Socialist and Ecologist parties remain undecided, their support – or lack thereof – holding the fate of the Lecornu government in the balance.

"The key is Olivier Faure," commented a source within the Prime Minister’s office, referring to the leader of the Socialist Party, whose potential support—in exchange for concessions on pension reform—could determine Lecornu’s survival.

The political maneuvering comes against the backdrop of internal divisions within the centre-right Les Républicains party, with several ministers facing exclusion for defying party leadership by accepting positions in the new government. Furthermore, the appointment of a largely ‘technocratic’ cabinet has raised concerns about a loss of political direction, with some observers questioning Lecornu’s ability to forge a lasting political consensus.

With a budget on a tightrope, a declaration carefully calibrated to avoid an immediate vote, and the threat of censure hanging heavy, Sébastien Lecornu’s first full day in office is a defining moment for his government—and potentially for the stability of French politics itself.

IN OTHER NEWS:

• Lecornu 2: Ministerial Posts and Shifting Alliances. Full list of the new cabinet released.

• Retailleau Breaks Silence. The leader of Les Républicains explains his decision to abstain from joining the administration.

• Budget Details Emerge. Analysis of Lecornu’s proposed economic plan and its potential impact.

• Opposition Gears Up. Parties prepare for potential early elections as tensions escalate.